AUSTIN TROUT CAN BEAT MIGUEL COTTO!

November 29th, 2012 By Pedro Fernandez

Miguel Cotto-Austin Trout

SHOWTIME MAIN IS “SOLID”

San Francisco, CA- Quite possibly the most underrated super match up of the boxing year 2012 will take place in Madison Square Garden this Saturday night as Austin Trout and Miguel Cotto (37-3, 30 KOs) tangle for 12 rounds or less to determine who is the real 154 lb. WBA champion. On paper, unbeaten (25-0, 14 KOs) Trout, a 2004 Olympic Alternate and Cotto, a three-division kingpin are a unique clash of boxing styles.

COTTO HAS THAT “CHILL FACTOR”

The Miguel Cotto I first met in the Big Apple many moons (and rounds) ago was a guy trying his best to learn and speak English. Cool, calm, almost looking like he had taken a “Chill” pill in the midst of battle, Cotto was the most relaxed fighter I had seen since the late Hall of Famer Alexis Arguello. Roberto Duran’s ex-manager Hector Martinez always capped on Cotto during the Puerto Rican’s developmental process saying among other things, “Cotto’s too slow.” For the record, Miguel Cotto has a fair jab, good right cross, potent left hook and isn’t afraid to work the body or throw combinations up and down. But in order to shine I think Miguel needs somebody that stands right in front of him.

OUTSIDE OF FLOYD IS COTTO UNBEATEN?

In his last outing Cotto was praised for his valiant stand against unbeaten Floyd Mayweather Jr. in May. Cotto would “muss” up Floyd’s “Pretty Boy” look as he bloodied his nose while going the 12 round distance this past May losing 10-2 in rounds twice & 9-3 on the third card. Not having lost since a 2009 drubbing to Manny Pacquiao, a fight where Cotto was induced by his then promoter Top Rank to sign for a special 145 lb. “catch weight” limit with Pacquiao. Weight drained and psychologically “impacted” from the beating he suffered at the hands (or casts) of Antonio Margarito, a bloody Cotto had his world rocked by the Pacman with a TKO loss in 12.

COTTO LOOKING FORWARD FOR 2013

Having avenged the loss to Margarito, Cotto would like to beat Trout and call out Manny Pacquiao whether or not the Philippine Congressman beats Juan Manuel Marquez on December 8. That being said, Cotto, who according to Trout, did not have to fight him. So Trout will take short change for the fight that he knows is a “make or break” fight for the fighter from Las Cruces, NM.

LIKE SIDNEY POITIER AT THE DINNER TABLE!

The manner in which the “boxing establishment” has taken Trout in is akin to the treatment actor Sidney Poitier got from Katherine Hepburn and Spencer Tracy in the 1967 movie entitled “Guess Who’s Coming To Dinner,” where the black Poitier was not that well received by his inlaws.

THIS TROUT IS NO FRESH WATER FISH!

Trout will have two, make it three advantages before the first bell rings in height, reach, and oh yeah, he’s a slick left-hander. In addition he has excellent movement, something Cotto will look to stop with some “body & fender” work. The amateur pedigree and the fact that there are far less pugilistic miles on Austin Trout than Cotto is itself significant. The beatings received from Pacquiao and Margarito are the equivalent of 500,000 miles on an American car. What I’m trying to say is that Cotto could break down at anytime.

FIGHT IS AUSTIN TROUT’S TO LOSE?

With all the advantages Austin Trout has and this includes a “cute” left hand style, I’m going against the grain and the oddsmakers for the second week in a row. Having picked Robert Guerrero over Andre Berto, this looks like another underdog defying the odds. Apparently the “wise guys” know Trout has the tools to win going away as the line has dropped from 3-1 to 2-1 in favor of Cotto.

CAN AUSTIN HANDLE THE HEAT?

According to World 168 lb. (super middleweight) champion Andre Ward, given the opportunity, Trout will prove to be the best at 154 lbs. That remains to be seen, but unless Trout folds up and doesn’t box, Austin deserves a wide points win but will instead yield victory by less points than deserved.

CAMACHO SERIES FINALE AND EPILOG ON MONDAY & TUESDAY!

San Francisco, CA- Having penned parts 1-4 of the series entitled “The Hector Camacho I Knew,” there are two segments left and they will be available here at RingTalk.com on December 3 & 4. If you’d like to read parts 1-4 click on the appropriate links below.

CATCH PARTS 1, 2, 3 & 4 BY CLICKING BELOW

Click For Part 1 Of Camacho Series

Click For Part 2 of Camacho Series

Click For Part 3 of Camacho Series

Click for Part 4 of Camacho Series

Pedro Fernandez

COMMENTS

  1. While Trout does have advantages in height & reach, I feel experience is the overall key to victory here and Cotto has far more world class experience where Trout has far less. Plus, the fact that Trout is a lefty, opens up a world of lead left hooks from Cotto to Trout’s body (landing on Austin’s front side: his liver) which I feel will be Cotto’s “go to” shot in the match. Cotto KO 7.

    John Signorella on November 29th, 2012 at 11:48 PM
  2. “Cotto was induced by his then promoter Top Rank to sign for a special 145 lb. “catch weight” limit with Pacquiao. Weight drained and psychologically “impacted” from the beating he suffered at the hands (or casts) of Antonio Margarito, a bloody Cotto had his world rocked by the Pacman with a TKO loss in 12.”

    Same can be said about Chad Dawson fighting Andre Ward at a “catch weight”.

    Glenn Soup on November 30th, 2012 at 5:34 AM
  3. Cotto’s performance against Floyd was a mirage. Floyd’s past his prime and can’t punch. Trout is taller and can box. He’s a natural 154lber while Cotto hasn’t done much at the weight except lose to Floyd and fight average fighters. He went 12 rounds with Mayorga. I just feel his days as an elite fighter are numbered. I’ll go with Trout. Cotto struggles with boxers. This will be no different.Trout be decision.

    KP on November 30th, 2012 at 8:43 AM
  4. Cotto was not weight drained….His last 4 fights he weighed no more than 147…and he did not sign for a special catch weight he was defending his title

    rich on November 30th, 2012 at 11:19 AM
  5. Easy night for Mr. No Dought Trout. 12 -0 in rounds like Winky Wright – Trinidad.

    Mike on November 30th, 2012 at 11:21 AM
  6. How many times have you made weight since birth. Two pounds is a lot, especially when you are being forced into it. As for Pac, he hasn’t been super since this fight.

    Pedro Fernandez on November 30th, 2012 at 12:14 PM
  7. Come on Austin…

    Guest on November 30th, 2012 at 4:06 PM
  8. I like Miguel Cotto. He is an excellent boxer-puncher, disciplined, courageous, and a gentleman. But, he does have a lot of mileage on him. Both Ricardo Mayorga and Antonio Margarito, whom Cotto defended his 154 lb. title against, were both far past their primes. Yes, he was competitive against Floyd Mayweather, but Mayweather is getting on in age as well.

    It’s nice to see new faces in boxing, and it looks like Austin Trout might be the real thing. Interestingly, he is trained by Louie Burke who gave Camacho a good fight in the early 80′s. He convincingly beat Delvin Rodriguez which definitely says something.

    Geoffrey Sadao Prenter on November 30th, 2012 at 4:09 PM
  9. Miguel should have his hands full. Not that he won’t win….I believe he will. But the physical dimensions will favor the taller and longer Trout. If he can keep Cotto at range and utilize an educated Jab…most likely he’ll win some rounds. I fully believe Cotto’s power and experience will be more than enough to get the win tomorrow night. We’ll see.

    Work on November 30th, 2012 at 7:22 PM
  10. To say Cotto was weight drained is a stretch. He made 146 months before when he beat Josh Clottey. Miguel made NO excuses before the fight and was very confident that he was going to blow Manny away. His physical appearance was probably the best I had ever seen him with regards to not look gaunt and depleted. Cotto himself had requested the catch weight of 145 on the recommendation of his personal physician. To try and take away from Manny’s utter domination of Miguel Cotto is reaching. Someone else brought up Chad Dawson’s performance against Ward as a comparable fight to that of PAC vs Cotto…If anything there’s a BIGGER case to be made that a 175 lb Dawson was drained moving down to 168 to face Ward who rejected a catch weight proposal from the Dawson camp. Both Ward and PAC dominated two elite level boxers who were bigger. No need to make excuses for their wins. The way they won speaks volumes.

    Work on November 30th, 2012 at 7:33 PM
  11. Why “praise” ward for his victory against Dawson w/c is a “catch weight” fight and downplay pac’s victory against cotto w/c is also a “catch weight” fight?

    dondon on December 1st, 2012 at 12:04 AM
  12. I too thought that Cotto was at one point on the downside, headed the way of a shot looking Kermit Citron as both these men were victims of Margarito. But I’m going with Cotto here simply because I am now convinced that trainer Pedro Diaz and his scientific approach to training are more than effective. I mean Cotto in his loss to Mayweather put his punches together as good as ever and he’ll be in top shape when he faces Trout after training in Big Bear. Aside from Cotto being slightly vulnerable to the right hook, which will be of no consequence because Trout doesn’t have sufficient power, I liken this fight to Mares-Moreno where the slick Panamanian southpaw for all his elusiveness wasn’t prepared for the high level attack that an ultra-determined Mares foisted upon him. Cotto will neutralize Trout’s jab and paint him up and down with tight combos once in range. The usually conservative Trout because he’s been so avoided, hasn’t fought anybody that will have prepared him for a rejuvenated Cotto. Don’t get me wrong, I like Austin Trout. He’s articulate, well spoken, etc., and his day will come. Just not this Saturday

    Nick Bellafatto on December 1st, 2012 at 7:46 AM
  13. DON DON, Dawson came on TV and said that he could make 168 no problem and called out Ward. Also Dawson’s titles were not on the line. If he lost he was still light heavyweight champion. While I disagree with that opinion that the weightloss had to do with Cotto’s loss in the fight, I have to state the differences in the scenarios. Cotto happened to be defending his 147lb title at 145, while Dawson wasn’t defending his belt. He figured that by moving down he’d have a size advantage. He was wrong.

    KP on December 1st, 2012 at 9:40 AM
  14. @kp
    ward went from 175? to 168 while cotto just went 2 down from 147 to 145. anyway , we both agree that the the weight loss has nothing to do with cotto’s loss to pac.

    dondon on December 1st, 2012 at 4:12 PM
  15. by the way, i pick cotto to win over trout

    dondon on December 1st, 2012 at 4:14 PM
  16. Dondon, How wrong you were this time!

    Pedro Fernandez on December 2nd, 2012 at 7:00 AM
  17. Miguel should have his hands full. Not that he won’t win….I believe he will. But the physical dimensions will favor the taller and longer Trout. If he can keep Cotto at range and utilize an educated Jab…most likely he’ll win some rounds. I fully believe Cotto’s power and experience will be more than enough to get the win tomorrow night. We’ll see.

    Work on December 2nd, 2012 at 10:06 AM
  18. To say Cotto was weight drained is a stretch. He made 146 months before when he beat Josh Clottey. Miguel made NO excuses before the fight and was very confident that he was going to blow Manny away. His physical appearance was probably the best I had ever seen him with regards to not look gaunt and depleted. Cotto himself had requested the catch weight of 145 on the recommendation of his personal physician. To try and take away from Manny’s utter domination of Miguel Cotto is reaching. Someone else brought up Chad Dawson’s performance against Ward as a comparable fight to that of PAC vs Cotto…If anything there’s a BIGGER case to be made that a 175 lb Dawson was drained moving down to 168 to face Ward who rejected a catch weight proposal from the Dawson camp. Both Ward and PAC dominated two elite level boxers who were bigger. No need to make excuses for their wins. The way they won speaks volumes.

    Work on December 2nd, 2012 at 10:07 AM
  19. Trout did a great job. I didn’t think he’d be able to keep Miguel at range for the entire fight but he did so easily. Cotto was slow. He has never been a natural 154 lber but he’s a good enough fighter to have beaten Trout if maybe he was a little lighter and faster. Trouts jab was working all night and the southpaw stance was a little more troublesome than Cotto had expected. Just a solid performance overall for Trout. A great win for the champ. Canelo anyone? I think Floyd may be a bit too small for 154. Canelo and Trout are big dudes compared to Cotto and Floyd. But Trout and Canelo could definitely mix it up. I think the power of Canelo would be the difference.

    Work on December 2nd, 2012 at 10:10 AM
  20. @Pedro

    Yeah, i picked the wrong guy to win, thats why i really hate to predict.

    dondon on December 2nd, 2012 at 10:57 PM

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